Answer first. Evidence next.
S&P 500 Volatility: The 53‑Day Calm Has Broken
The S&P 500’s 53-day calm ended with a 1.11% decline. Original charts examine volatility, market breadth and the next tests for a lasting regime…
Read the evidence-led brief →Stock Market Outlook: Nasdaq’s Record Meets the $100 Oil Test
Nasdaq is at a record, but $100 oil and elevated real yields keep the rally on trial. Three original charts show what would confirm…
Read the evidence-led brief →September 2026 Stock Market Outlook: Good Jobs, Expensive Money
August hiring rebounded, but stocks slipped as rate-hike risk returned. Two original payroll charts, the earnings-versus-rates test and the September CPI/Fed watchlist.
Read the evidence-led brief →Nvidia Earnings 2026: The AI Boom Is Real. The Fed Made It More Expensive.
Nvidia’s blockbuster quarter sent AI stocks surging. Then sticky inflation and a hawkish Fed lifted yields. This week’s brief explains why verified AI revenue…
Read the evidence-led brief →The Market Isn’t Breaking — It’s Splitting
U.S. stocks remain close to record highs, but the cross-asset picture is getting harder to ignore. Oil, gold and long-term Treasury yields are rising…
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