Bitcoin market analysis
Bitcoin is currently $80,411, with a twelve-month change of -30.51%. Its latest stored observation is dated 2026-09-20. Relative to U.S. M2 Money Supply, the one-year ratio is at the 60th percentile and is classified as near its normal range.
Change versus its own stored value one year earlier.
$124,753 on 2025-10-06.
60th percentile over one year · Underperforming
Observed low and high in the latest stored year.
Keep price, trend and relative value separate.
Bitcoin has a strong uptrend structure based on available daily and weekly observations. The relative reading compares BTC with M2; it does not estimate intrinsic fair value or predict a reversal.
- Price describes the market in its native unit.
- Normalized performance puts two series on the same starting line.
- The ratio shows which series is outperforming.
- The percentile describes where that ratio sits in its own lookback window.
Daily and weekly moving-average context
These are lagging descriptive measures, not trading instructions.
9.9% from average
14.1% from average
2.1% from average
22.8% from average
Questions about this analysis
Does a historically high ratio mean the primary asset must fall?
No. It only means the selected ratio is high inside its own lookback range. The ratio can remain elevated while the trend continues.
Are moving averages buy or sell signals?
No. AssetScreener uses them as lagging descriptions of trend structure. They do not predict turning points or replace risk management.
Why compare Bitcoin with the S&P 500?
The comparison helps separate Bitcoin-specific performance from the broader risk-asset environment.
Why compare Bitcoin with U.S. M2?
M2 is a broad liquidity measure. The ratio is contextual and does not prove that money-supply changes directly cause Bitcoin returns.
The exact input behind this page
These fields make the displayed observation traceable without confusing the stored source with AssetScreener’s calculated views.
Daily closing observations are validated, deduplicated and stored. Official FRED closes replace overlapping index dates when configured. Current spot and quote instruments remain separate. Ratios, percentiles and moving averages are calculated at request or display time.
Built to be checked, quoted and revisited.
Canonical URL, update date, definitions and original-source links are kept together so readers and search systems can verify the context.
- Suggested citation
- AssetScreener (2026-08-30). Bitcoin market analysis. https://www.assetscreener.com/bitcoin/
- Underlying sources
- Bitcoin stored observations, AssetScreener methodology
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